Guest Column

Banks, property and large caps to shine

  • Published 17 Sep 2009

Too many investors are preoccupied with short-term market fluctuations. But with earnings in certain sectors promising to stay robust into 2010, some stocks are still fundamentally attractive.

Over the past 12 months, we have seen in China a massive shift in policy as a result of what happened on the export side. Very clearly, the policy changes have been focused on the domestic attributes of the Chinese economy (i.e. investment and consumption). In terms of sectors, we continue to favour banks. Within the sector, our top picks are China Construction Bank, Bank of China, Bank of China (Hong Kong) and ICBC (Asia). Despite good loan growth numbers, improving net interest margin (NIM) and solid results announced recently, banks are still priced at a discount relative to the aggregate market, though they have pared back some of this discount recently. Should there be a moderate tightening of liquidity, it would also on the whole be positive for the banks’ margin expansion and medium-term asset quality.

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