Report archive
23 August 2012
Download reportMacro View
Talking a good gameThe Big Call
No sharp rebound
Ambitious spending plans announced by local governments may boost investment at the margin, but financing fatigue is likely to preclude a sharp GDP growth rebound this year
Consumer China
Budget hotels – more rooms at the inn
While many consumer industries are slowing expansion in the face of a slowdown in demand and economic activity, the business pulse is quickening across China’s budget-hotel sector
Jinjiang International Hotels – losing market share
Jinjiang continues to lose market share to fast-growing rivals, but its large proportion of franchised hotels and popularity among wealthier travelers enables it to enjoy higher margins and revenue per available room
China Lodging Group – Starway to heaven
China Lodging Group has expanded rapidly without sacrificing revenue or occupancy rates, and should be strengthened further by the acquisition of mid-range chain Starway Hotels
7 Days Group – franchise model to drive rapid expansion
A recent strategic shift towards an asset-light franchise model should drive rapid expansion and revenue growth for China’s second-largest economy hotel operator
Home Inns – acquisition weighs on bottom line
The acquisition of Motel 168 has ramped up short-term costs for China’s leading budget-hotel operator, but should boost its long-term prospects
Rural China
Slowing remittances, tractor sales challenge rural sector
Declining tractor sales, weak vehicle sales and a slowdown in migrant worker remittances dragged the China Confidential Rural Wealth Index down 1.4pp in July
Private capital flows into rural banks
Village banks are a new frontier in Chinese banking, open to private and foreign capital and tapped in to a buoyant segment of the economy
Financial China
China takes aim at shadow finance
Regulators signal a reining in of the shadowy trust industry, raising risk premiums for trust products
Selected financial charts
A selection of key financial data over the past fortnight
Capital Intensive China
Peak season approaches
While recent price increases suggest a rebound in China's property market, lacklustre recent sales in August so far and signs that mortgage rates may be starting to rise suggest a muted autumn
Best of Chinese Commentators
Online retailers wage price war
A price war between some of China's largest online retailers has sparked criticism and debate among commentators and consumers alike
Provinces miss fiscal revenue targets
A number of Chinese provinces missed their 1H12 fiscal revenue targets, raising concerns about the impact on local government finances and fixed-asset investment
RENMINBI COMPASS
Renminbi Compass reflects key changes in the renminbi-denominated investment environment.
Providing research coverage on asset classes as diverse as chengtou bonds, dim sum bonds, real estate, trust products, underground banking, art and antiques, as well as its traditional equity fund research.
Renminbi Compass provides orientation for investors navigating the expanding universe of renminbi asset classes.
