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09 September 2010
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Optimistic consumersThe Big Call
Survey shows strong consumer demand
Our proprietary survey shows consumer spending plans remain very strong but questions proliferate about the quality of the current retail boom.
Consumer China
Urban middle income group – a Nokia, a Volkswagen and an eye on investments
The mid-income group, numerically the largest urban cohort, participates in investment significantly more than the low income group and almost half are planning to buy a car.
Urban upper income group – big spenders, international tastes
The biggest spending cohort is also the most bewitched by famous brands, the most international and the most aggressive in their spending plans.
Rural migrant workers – buying domestic brands
Migrant workers are seeing strong wage increases this year, creating sales impetus for the emerging domestic brand electronics, clothing and cosmetics that they buy.
Rural discretionary consumer family – emerging from subsistence
Often regarded as economically inert, rural areas are flourishing and the beneficiaries include an estimated 100m new discretionary rural consumers.
Urban low income group – self-improvers on the lowest urban rung
The cohort of 200m expects income to stay roughly the same but see expenditure increasing. Over 70% plan to take paid-for education in the next 12 months.
Paid-for education – demand for English language tuition remains buoyant
Strong demand for paid-for education, particularly English language tuition among younger age groups throughout China is expected to support providers such as New Oriental with a strong presence across the region.
Mobile phones – Nokia losing share to Blackberry and Apple
Nokia stays on top with strong brand recognition but is losing share to competing smartphones such as Apple and Blackberry with high income groups.
Health insurance – popularity of 'supplementary' insurance boosts key firms
Growing demand for supplementary health insurance is expected to spur growth of medical device manufacturers and domestic pharmaceutical makers that target treatment of severe diseases not covered by the national basic insurance scheme.
Cars – high-end models thrive as low-end stall
Robust demand among upper income groups is expected to drive strong sales of overseas brands such as Audi, Volkswagen, Mercedes Benz and BMW.
Laptops and white goods – Apple gains on Lenovo, Haier strong in white goods
Laptops are in hot demand with China's youth and high earners, while lower tier cities are driving demand for white goods.
Financial China
Select financial charts
A selection of key financial data.
Credit powers consumer activity
Negative real deposit rates and expectations of further inflation are driving consumers to take out credit card loans at unprecedented rates.
The Best of Chinese Commentators
Is car production reaching overcapacity?
Car manufacturers have been rushing to expand capacity on robust demand over the last 18 months. Commentators argue whether the move has been badly co-ordinated and will result in overcapacity.
China's vacant housing
Should the government levy a tax on China's vacant urban housing to deter speculative buying?
Guest Column
China's losers from healthcare reform
Jonathan Zifferblatt, managing director of General Biologic, talks on the challenges facing China's healthcare and pharmaceutical industry following the implementation of healthcare reform.
Funds Data
Flows to Taiwan falter
Flows to Taiwan have moderated significantly in recent weeks as weaker than expected growth in key export markets deters investors.
China Confidential Funds
China Confidential Funds, a new research service launched by FT China Confidential, is dedicated to illuminating the mainland fund industry. Our team of fund industry experts in Shanghai search out the interesting trends in fund performance, strategy, interactions with overseas funds, regulatory changes, distribution and management. We also use a proprietary system to track the emerging flows of Chinese money. Click here to find out more.
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